Friday, July 17, 2020

School reopenings in US and world subject to COVID



The COVID pandemic has crept into every facet of global life, from the economy to employment and now the pressing issue is the opening of schools worldwide this fall,  especially grammar and high schools, but not excluding those of colleges and universities, especially those incoming freshman, anxious to begin their professional lives.

In the United States, the heat is turned up by President Donald Trump who wants all brick and mortar schools to open, regardless of parental and teacher feelings; a position that has the seeming intention of intensifying his reelection effort  rather than mitigate the danger that the pandemic poses for not only students, but their parents and school staff.

The president, who has faced much lower ratings in recent polls, is intent on taking a tough stance, even threatening to withhold federal aid to schools, if they don’t comply; an action that is not impossible, say legal experts, but once again represents a play to his base.

The “do they” or “don’t they”waffling is also one that has faced the world as they face, in their own unique ways, what will be best for all, considering the threat to their social capital.

Can Children get sick?
In an attempt to make a judgement of the threat of COVID 19 to children some have pointed to the case of the New York boy who fell ill, and died in May, from complications directly related to the virus but others, notably some pediatricians and epidemiologists have said that the case is an aberration, and not normal, in the course of the virus, while others have said that the medical community does not have enough information to make that judgement.

Dr.Susan Lipton, head of infectious disease at the Herman & Walter Samuelson Children’s Hospital at Sinai in Baltimore, “said there are a lot of factors that could make COVID-19 infections worse in children, like asthma, obesity or another infection like the flu. But she said those who get the sickest likely have a more serious blood disorder like sickle cell or a heart condition.”

For America, the mix of politics and pandemic has reached a crescendo, and many have noted that the surge in cases across that nation is closely tied to state lawmakers, in the South, and Southwest, who are tightly bound to the Trump agenda and their subsequent actions, or inaction, say critics, has played a role in the increase of infections, as much as 50,000 new infections in a single day for Florida, which is a state rich in electoral votes crucial for a second Trump term.

Politics over science
And, as many have seen if the GOP governors in these areas do not play by the rules of the Trump Administration, political payback is the result. Certainly, the actions of Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp, towards Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms, in her mandate for face masks, or facial coverings, in public is another example. He is threatening to sue Atlanta, for its mandate, despite the urging of epidemiologists that masks can help reduce the chance of infection

Looking back we can also see that many of the Southern and Southwest states rejected the Obama era expansion of Medicaid with the advent of the Affordable Care Act, leaving many of its lower income residents at risk, without adequate health insurance, which also affects children’s health,and especially now, as they face the possibility of in person instruction, should it occur.

Science Magazine recently reported that younger children do not experience the same levels of severity with the virus, as teens and adults, an assertion that many feel justifies the full in-person learning experience, for developmental growth, but others say that a hybrid of young children, in school, and older children with remote learning is optimum. But, they also noted other risk factors, as an unintended consequence.

“Continued closures risk “scarring the life chances of a generation of young people,” according to an open letter published last month and signed by more than 1500 members of the United Kingdom’s Royal College of Pediatrics and Child Health (RCPCH). Virtual education is often a pale shadow of the real thing and left many parents juggling jobs and childcare. Lower-income children who depend on school meals were going hungry. And there were hints that children were suffering increased abusenow that school staff could no longer spot and report early signs of it. It was time, a growing chorus said, to bring children back to school.”

Some school officials are saying that younger children are also prone to be strong transmitters of COVID 19, making them a danger to adults, such as parents, and teachers, and staff members at their schools, if not themselves.

Looking at the 1.5 billion school age population across the globe, it’s easy to see that the sheer enormity of those to be educated is going to be a challenge for months to come.

A model for learning in the “new normal”
Therefore the hybrid model makes good sense for some, and many are advocating that even without a hybrid mode, congregate eating areas in schools should be banned and students should eat at their desks, either with home brought meals, or from institutional kitchens, and served with disposable flatware and containers.

Other options to be considered are the increase use of outdoor spaces, desks place 3 to 6 feet apart, and meals eaten in shifts, or “to go meals”

In all of this ongoing debate, one startling factor as Science magazine noted, is the absence of strong data; a void that makes creating plans debatable, if not impossible for most areas.

“I just find it so frustrating,” says Kathryn Edwards, a pediatric infectious disease specialist at the Vanderbilt University School of Medicine who is advising the Nashville school system, which serves more than 86,000 students, on how to reopen. Her research assistant spent 30 hours hunting for data—for example on whether younger students are less adept at spreading the virus than older ones, and whether outbreaks followed reopenings—and found little that addressed the risk of contagion in schools.”

Within that many school districts to avoid the risk of contagion are also looking at small class sizes, physical distancing, and in the upper grades having the teacher transition to classrooms, rather than students.

Scientists in a French village, noted some speculative but notable findings, “high school students``have to be very careful. They have mild disease, but they are contagious.” Children younger than 11 or 12, on the other hand, “probably don’t transmit very well. They are close to each other in schools, but that is not enough” to fuel spread. At the same time, scientists note that children have more contacts than adults, especially at school, which could offset the lower odds they will spread the pathogen."

While the picture is not entirely clear, there are some other worldwide examples that they pointed out that gives the still incomplete picture, “Other data come from day care centers: In many countries, they stayed open for children of essential workers, and outbreaks appeared rare. Two flares in Canadian day cares—one in Toronto, and one outside of Montreal—led to temporary closures. In Texas, where overall cases have skyrocketed, at least 894 preschool staff and 441 children across 883 facilities have tested positive, according to news reports. That’s up from 210 total cases just a few weeks ago.”

Masks, data and parental input
The use of masks is a compliance issue with younger children but also may make a difference for older students, those in high school for example, and in many Asian countries they have become the norm, even without the virus, but as they have been politicized in the States, the issue will become more heated.

“For me, masks are part of the equation” for slowing the spread of COVID-19 in schools, especially when distancing is difficult, says Susan Coffin, an infectious disease physician at the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia. “Respiratory droplets are a major mode of [virus] transmission,” she says, and wearing a mask places an obstacle in those droplets’ path.

While the debate rages on, it cannot be underestimated that all of these efforts are dependent on core numbers, and in some American states such as Arizona, there are not enough trustworthy data, but the role of parental consent cannot be overlooked, as well as those of teachers, especially those that are older, and support staff.

“About 4 in 10 California adults want to stick with full-time distance learning this fall. A similarly sized group favors a limited reopening with students in school on alternating days or on half-day schedules. The staggered schedule would allow schools to comply with social distancing requirements, which typically require students to remain six feet apart,” reported the Los Angeles Times.

The Baltimore Sun reported some feelings among local parents: “The decision could be an emotional and agonizing one for parents, with some considering it too risky for their child. In some district surveys, as many as half of parents said they will keep their children out of schools.

“As a parent I default toward the safety of my kids,” said Pete Fitzpatrick, the father of two school-aged students in Catonsville. “I feel like I have the liberty to say that. We have internet access at our house.”

Laura Hamilton, a Baltimore County mother of three young girls, said she isn’t sending her two elementary school aged children back.

“There are too many unknowns from this. There have been a lot of people with long term side effects. I couldn’t forgive myself if one of my kids had chronic lung problems because I sent them back to school.”

On the other hand, “Epidemiologist Gwen Knight at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine and her colleagues collected data before most school closings took effect. If schools were a major driver of viral spread, she says, “We would have expected to find more clusters linked to schools. That’s not what we found.” Still, she adds, without widespread testing of young people, who often don’t have symptoms, it’s hard to know for sure what role schools might play,” added Science Magazine.

Family income as an indicator of needs and preference
For lower income families, and those of third world countries, the use and affordability of masks, and slimming class sizes may not be feasible; and income disparities also play a significant role in how parents feel about opening school this fall, with those earning over $75,000 dollars three out of ten favored a full reopening, and those earning less, were 50 percent less in favor of reopening, reported the Times, in California, suggesting that resources for broadband access and contingent plans for child care were easier than for those making less money.

In these demographic breakdowns, race proved another factor and as was stated, “Black and Asian Pacific American parents were especially supportive of sticking with distance learning, with half or more in those groups in favor. Latino parents were most in favor of a partial reopening, with nearly half supporting that option. Whites, who have been less likely than Black people or Latinos to be hit by the virus, were the most evenly divided, with about 1 in 5 backing a full reopening.”

Politics and news from the Chicago plan
It’s also important to know, said Lisa Lerer, writing for The New York Times, that “as cases soar there is no clear national strategy for combating the virus, beyond vague promises of a vaccine. No federal plan for reopening, testing or contact tracing, apart from scattershot public health recommendations.”

For Chicago, the nation’s third largest school system, the Chicago Teachers Union, on Thursday announced their preference for an all virtual instruction, but on Friday, the Chicago Public School System and Mayor Lori Lightfoot announced their preference for a hybrid model using most of the variables for those from kindergarten to 10th grade,, and older high school students learning at home, with one virtual instruction day.

“The plan also includes "rigorous public health protocols" including a requirement that everyone wear masks, daily health screenings, temperature checks and the hiring of roughly 400 more custodians to carry out cleaning and sanitizing protocols across the district,” reported NBCChicago.com

Lightfoot anticipating probable changes in data sets of infections has said that she is seeking community input through a survey with an end date of July 31, and will hold virtual bilingual meetings across the city.

Finally, into the morass stepped Education Secretary Betsy DeVos on the Sunday chat shows this past weekend; and she echoed the need for reopening schools this fall, with most pundits view as part of the president's political agenda, and of course, his reelection for another term, and her absence of any real plan, other than political, had this reaction from Speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi who called her inaction one of “malfeasance and dereliction of duty.”








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